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Vadim Nemkov vs. Corey Anderson in Bellator 288 Betting Analysis and Forecast

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In the main event of Bellator 288, light heavyweight champion Vadim Nemkov (15-2) and top contender Corey Anderson (16-5) will rematch their April No Contest decision.

Their first encounter ended due to an unintentional clash of heads at the end of the third round.

The betting analysis and prediction for Nemkov vs. Anderson is very interesting to dissect. If sports bettors are unfamiliar with this matchup, it will help them get a better understanding of it.

Last Fight Results
Outside of their first meeting, Nemkov submitted Julius Anglickas in the fourth round of their October 2021 fight.

Anderson knocked out legend Ryan Bader in 51 seconds with a TKO win before his first fight against Nemkov.

Matchup Details November 19, 2022 Wintrust Arena, Chicago, Illinois Showtime PPV

Betting Analysis: Nemkov vs. Anderson
Nemkov, Vadim
This weekend, Nemkov will make his third title defense against Corey Anderson. Nemkov was a dominant athlete in Combat Sambo prior to MMA. He has four world titles under his belt.

This dangerous man has a lot to prove to himself and his audience.

The intriguing aspect of this fight is that we already have approximately three full rounds of the same matchup from seven months ago.

The Struggle of Nemkov
From the top position, Nemkov was struggling with Anderson’s wrestling and ground-and-pound.

This was the first time anyone in Bellator had challenged Nemkov’s physicality in the cage, and he didn’t appear to be prepared.

It is difficult to compare the two from an analytical standpoint because there are no Bellator stats available to break down the numbers. We know this fight will feature a lot of footwork and great wrestling scrambles.

Anderson, Corey
Anderson is coming off a huge performance against Nemkov in April. He demonstrated to himself and Nemkov that he was capable of dominating in the manner he claimed. Anderson mimicked his opponent’s physical characteristics and simply imposed his will.

He had to wait seven months for his chance to win a world title after taking the high road and admitting to the ref that their heads collided.

This could be due to the fact that he will be near his hometown in Illinois for this one while also headlining the event.

Anderson’s Self-assurance
Anderson’s confidence is sky-high right now. He has excellent wrestling and ground-and-pound skills, which caused Nemkov a lot of trouble in their first meeting.

Anderson has also faced more difficult opponents and has more experience in deep water.

Report on Bellator Injuries
There were no injuries reported in the lead-up to this fight. Anderson believes he can win because of his performance in their first fight.

Their first meeting was declared a no-contest due to an unintentional clash of heads.

Corey Anderson vs. Vadim Nemkov Predictions for Betting
Moneyline
Anderson is the betting favorite at -235 in the Bellator MMA odds. This is a significant change from their first meeting, in which Anderson was the +150 underdog. Nemkov is the +185 underdog in this fight.

MMA picks become more difficult to make when there is a rematch, especially when there was no winner in the first meeting.

All we can conclude from the first meeting is that Anderson had the upper hand, as evidenced by his confidence.

Total
The over/under is set at 3.5 rounds, with their previous fight going over. The fight going the distance is currently priced at plus odds, so that is an important prop bet to consider this week.

Prior to the clash of heads, Nemkov had been dropped in the Grand Prix semifinals and then arguably dominated in the finals against Anderson.

Anderson was clearly bigger and stronger than Nemkrov, which played a significant role.

The Mental State of Fighters
The mental state of both fighters heading into Chicago for this rematch is the final part of the Nemkov vs. Anderson betting preview.

Anderson desires this belt more than anything else. He’s even stated that he doesn’t care about the million-dollar prize and is only interested in the belt.

Nemkov must be in pain because he was defeated at his own game in the previous fight. He hasn’t done much media in the lead up to this weekend, so his appearance is a big question mark.

The betting favorite wins the majority of the time, according to Bellator picks trends.

Betting Predictions for Nemkov vs. Anderson
It would be an odd decision to choose anyone other than Corey Anderson to win his first world championship this weekend in front of an Illinois crowd.

The betting prediction for Nemkov vs. Anderson is based on the styles and momentum of both fighters.

Anderson is full of confidence and eager to complete the work he began in April. Nemkov appeared to have no ground-and-pound response to Anderson’s top pressure. Anderson appeared to have broken Nemkov.

Who Should You Bet On?
When confronted with elite talent and confidence, Nemkov has struggled. He lost to current UFC champion Jiri Prochazka in a similar fight in the RIZN promotion years ago.

Anderson will be able to put pressure on Nemkov early on and land some heavy shots that will send Nemkov into a frenzy.

The fight will eventually end on the ground, with Anderson on top of Nemkov.

I believe this will be a five-round battle, with Anderson winning 49-46 on the scorecards. Anderson’s victory will be sweet because he will finally be able to call himself a champion.

Anderson is the Bellator 288 pick.

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